HIA and X-risk part 2: Why it hurts
Table of Contents 1 Context 1.1 Questions for the reader 1.2 Caveats 2 What is HIA? 2.1 Vague definitions of intelligence and HIA 2.2 HIA as a general access good 2.3 HIA and reprogenetics 3 AGI X-risk 3.1 Background assumptions 3.2 Red vs. Blue AGI capabilities research 4 An ontology of effects of interventions on world processes 4.1 The meaning of “acceleration” 4.2 Effects of HIA on a single process 4.3 Effects of HIA involving multiple processes 5 Processes 6 Some plausible bad effects of HIA on processes 6.1 Speeding up Blue research 6.2 Speeding up Red research 6.3 Less speeding up legal and social regulation 6.4 Nonlinear / race-condition regulatory escape 6.5 Alignment loses the race anyway 6.6 Intrinsic regulatory escape 6.7 Disrupting regulatory systems 6.8 Social values favor following local incentives 6.9 Less speeding up change towards better values 6.10 Alignment harnesses added brainpower much less effec...